Market insights beyond the noise.
In-depth analysis, macro model discussions, and experimental algorithmic data provided for those who seek clarity, not consensus.
Join The Headquarters
Reading Markets Through Our Lens
We aim to provide more clarity in uncertain markets through macroeconomic context, model-informed insights, and data-driven analysis. Our goal: helping you understand the forces that could drive price, risk, and opportunity.
Macro meets market,
clearly explained.
We break down global liquidity developments, monetary dynamics, and market structure in a way that connects the dots.
Q&A and education
without the hype.
We answer market questions, challenge assumptions, and explain our reasoning, so you can stay grounded and sharpen your edge.
Models, frameworks, and experimental data.
From cycle research to experimental algorithms: we build and test models to explore market behavior and directional tendencies.
Researching Risk Factors
For any serious market participant, it is essential to assess the current macroeconomic risk level. Factors like the Federal Reserve’s policy stance, treasury yield movements, and credit conditions might provide early indications of potential instability. Historically, ignoring such elements led to severe consequences.
Here, we monitor critical variables, contextualize their implications, and offer digestible overviews of the evolving risk landscape.
Exploring Market Causalities
If you want to understand how the markets work, global liquidity is one of the best starting points. Bitcoin, Ethereum & all other somewhat matured assets are embedded into this system and, so far, moved only with liquidity on a grand scale. News & events seem to be mainly noise.
We at DeanTrader have analyzed global liquidity models, curated regime changing conditions and monitor further developments to maintain perspective on broader systemic shifts.
Modelling Liquidity Behaviour
Comprehending how liquidity conditions impact market dynamics is a focus of our research. Utilizing an experimental, quantitative algorithm, we gather data to investigate the possible relationship between liquidity changes and price behaviour & market structure.
Ethereum serves as a proxy asset due to its characteristic volatility and liquidity fidelity. This work forms part of an ongoing effort to evaluate the underlying forces at play in crypto markets.
Studying Cycle Extremes
Markets often move in rough cycles of overextension and reversion. Boundary models and various cycle indicators aim to hint at potential top and bottom zones based on structural dislocations. One such model we examine are the Confidence Bands.
At DeanTrader, we develop, search for, and analyze different ideas to identify long-term overextension instances in crypto markets. The goal: to better understand where & why deviation from the mean maximizes.
DeanTrader on YouTube
We just started publishing market analysis and model discussion videos on YouTube. More are coming soon! Please note: the videos are in German, but auto-caption & auto-translate might still help. Here’s a taste:
We will soon start publishing market analysis and model discussion videos on YouTube.
Follow us for more!
Dean's Live Experiment
Shown is the live performance (forward test) of Dean’s personal trading activity utilizing his experimental algorithm, running since 29.06.2023 (initialization of the current version), in conjunction with moderating hedge phases, gross of fees. His trades were realized via Ethereum (ETH/USD) futures. Here, for illustration purposes, an example starting equity of 10.000 USD is chosen.
For roughly 50 trades over 20 months, the total trading fees and total funding rates for this period could be estimated to below 1 % and well below 5 % (with inverse perpetual futures), respectively. Data points are trade-to-trade, with the exception of the last data point, which shows the current status. The chart of this ongoing study will be updated at least once per quarter. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results. Current status: 31.03.2025
Legal Disclaimer: The live trades and performance figures shown on this website are based solely on Dean’s personal, experimental market activity, which is derived from his own experimental algorithms, indicators, and market analysis. They are provided for documentation and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial or investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instruments. Trading in cryptocurrencies, stocks, and derivatives involves significant risks, including the risk of total loss. We assume no liability for any decisions made based on the information presented by us. For more details, see our Terms & Conditions.
DeanTrader Headquarters
Join our private rooms to get updates & commentary on the markets, experimental data, and much more.
The DeanTrader HQ is the private Telegram group where all market analysis happens and different concepts are discussed. Members can enjoy:
- Market Companionship: Regular comments on the crypto market and macroeconomical developments.
- Telegram-Only Videos: Supplementary videos about the markets, concepts, ideas, and Dean's own models as food for thought.
- Youtube Enhanced: Further discussion of the topics shown on Youtube, as well as discussion of indicators and concepts not shown on Youtube.
- Market Q&A: Dean answers your general market & concepts questions in all conscience in the group. He can also give his opinion regarding e.g. news events or provided market data. He gives no financial advice, though.
- TradingView Live Charts: Live charts of some of our proprietary, experimental models are provided for informational purposes.
- Experimental Algorithmic Output: Data feed of the experimental algorithm for the proxy Ethereum is provided automatically via a bot, as documentation and information for market researchers and analysts.
- Features and Topics on Demand: If requests rise for useful additional features, we're flexible to implement them. Highly requested topics might be covered, too.
- Future Projects Benefits: Once novel DeanTrader projects launch in the future, group members will be able to be the first to join. Additionally, longer-standing members will enjoy lower project fees.
You will also be invited to the separate DeanTrader Experimental group, which contains the data feed of the experimental swing algorithm bot.
Limited-Time Launch Offer: 19 € / month
Launch Coming Soon
This price stays locked in for as long as your subscription remains active.
The subscription comes with a 14-day free trial period included.
The subscription will come with a 14-day free trial period included.
Before subscribing, make sure you have set up your Telegram correctly. See the green box on the right (on desktop view), or below the subscribe button (on mobile view). The process is also explained here: Telegram Setup. If you don’t follow this, the onboarding won’t work!
Legal Disclaimer: All information & content provided by DeanTrader is for informational and educational purposes only. The offered information is not personalized, and experimental data feeds are generated by bots. No financial or investment advice is given, and no offered information is to be construed as such advice. By subscribing, you acknowledge that all published content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute personalized advice or financial services. See more details in our Terms & Conditions.
Subscription Disclaimer: Monthly subscription charges start automatically after the 14-day free trial ends if the subscription is not canceled until the first payment is charged. The subscription can be canceled at any time, and no further charges will be made after cancellation. Please especially note: As digital services are offered here, once a payment is charged, no refunds can be made. Subscription payments are processed via Stripe, and live subscriptions can be managed in the Customer Portal. For more details see our Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy, to which you agree by subscribing (a mandatory checkbox for this agreement can be found during the Stripe checkout).
◊ Important for Telegram Onboarding:
For subscribing, you need a Telegram account (mandatory field in the checkout process). If you don’t already have one, you can get Telegram on the official homepage or in the typical mobile app stores. A desktop version is available. Note: By contacting our Telegram bots, you agree to our Privacy Policy.
Please make sure that you set up your Telegram correctly before subscribing, with these 2 quick steps:
1) Open a Chat with the DeanTrader Bot by clicking on https://t.me/deantraderbot, and then opening the upcoming chat request via the Telegram app. Alternatively, search in the Telegram app for the user/bot @deantraderbot and click on it. Either way, a chat with the bot should now be open.
2) Find your Telegram-ID by pressing the START button at the bottom of the chat window (if this did not happen automatically via the “Start Bot” button in the link above). A message from the bot will show up, and you can copy the shown Telegram ID number, which you will need in the subscription checkout. For easier copying, type “/id” and hit enter to get an ID-only-message. Now you’re good to subscribe.
This process is also explained here: Telegram Setup.
Novel Projects In The Future
There’s more to come. Once the time is right, details and updates about planned projects will be shared here. Until then, feel free to explore the current content, and stay tuned for what’s ahead.
Further Questions?
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